Climate change drives floods, snow storms, heat waves, tornados, thunderstorms and more what does the future hold for us on planet earth as climate change
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As we all should know weather on earth is driven by a large number of factors not just one element. Not just does green house gasses play a roll so does the sun, the albedo effect, ocean current, earths rotation, earth movement thou the solar system and the milky way, the trade winds, el Niño, la Nina and so on. Any person whom uses only one of these factors to explain climate change are not presenting all the facts to you and the information giving to you is incomplete.
Sun spots Graph
Ice age Graph
Ipcc Graph
CO2 vs Sun Graph 1
CO2 vs Sun Graph 2
CO2 vs Sun Graph 3
Before we can place the arguments before you whether CO2 or the sun is the main factor for global warming and global cooling we first have to see whether global warming are real or not.
This is very easy to proof for video evidence you can click here. On the article you can also view graphs which all indicate the same thing, temperatures world wide is increasing. Yeah right were does all the record snow storms come from in recent history? There are 4 main factors which play a role here and will help explain how global warming produce record braking snow falls. 1) Warming ocean and lakes provide arctic winds with higher levels of water vapor. 2) The warm air south of the North Pole and north of the South Pole draws in cold air from the North Pole and South Pole. 3) The fresh water provided by the melting ice sheets slows down the ocean currents, and prevent them from feeding large amounts of warm water from the equator to the poles. 4) El Niño and la Nina, either pulls the cold air closer to them or pushes the cold air away from it. This leads to different areas being affected by cold weather, during different time periods, depending on which system is currently active.
1 Both sides agree that earth is heating up.
2 Both sides agree that CO2, Water vapor and Methane gas are greenhouse gasses.
3 Both sides agree that CO2 is added to the atmosphere by man, the oceans and permafrost.
4 Both sides agree that more water evaporate during hitting adding more water vapor.
5 Both sides agree that Methane gas is added by permafrost and the oceans.
The mini ice age which occurred during low sun spot activity between 1650 and 1700?
The fact that warming has occurred between 1930 and 2000 while there was high sun spot activity?
The signs of global warming on all the planets in our solar system?
The fact that the hockey stick is 0.2 degrees off in 2000?
Why cooling still occurred after the end of each solar cycle?
1 Referring to CO2 vs. Sun graph 1-3 and Ice age graph. As indicated by these graphs one can clearly see that CO2 levels has been high during ever warm period.
Disagreements: The oceans, and ice releases CO2 in to the air during heating. That means that CO2 will rise every time the earth heats up and that thus can not be seen as the main reason why heating occurs, because heating is required to realize CO2 into the atmosphere.
2 Man is responsible for climate change because of all the CO2 man produce.
Disagreement: According to scientific calculations a level of 778ppm (double the current level of 389ppm) will result in a heating equal to a 4watt lamp on a 1square meter area. This is very low and can not explain the current trend in heating. With that said if man continues to add CO2 to the atmosphere artificial heating will occur. More evidence that the current CO2 level is to low to explain the current heating trend can be found on the Ice age graph and the CO2 vs. Sun graph 3. In the Ice Age graph the highest CO2 level was 300ppm and the temperature during that period was 3.6 degrees. On the CO2 vs. Sun graph 3 the CO2 level is 389ppm and temperature is 0.4degrees If CO2 was the main ingredient to global warming One would have expected that the current temperature level would be higher since the CO2 level is higher but that is not the case.
3 According to supporters of the CO2 heating, Ice ages are triggered by the movement of our planet around the sun. There is 2 cycles they have identified. A 41000year cycle and a 100000year cycle. What are these two cycles? Earths tilt changes over a period of plus minus 41000years. Earth moves between 22 and 45degrees. The theory says that when earth is tilled at 45degrees earth will cool down. Earths orbit it self changes from round to elliptic over a time period of plus minus 100 000years. When the orbit is elliptic earth temperatures will drop.
Disagreement: Earths orbit is currently almost perfectly round. We are currently heating up so the theory seems sound but, earths orbit will be elliptic over 50 000years. This means the current warm period will continue for 50 000years add that to the 12 000years we have experienced so far and you get 62 000years. Compare this to the ice age graph. No where on the graph is there any warm period lasting longer the 12 000years, so this theory does not match up with the ice core evidence. Another problem with this theory is how it triggers an ice age. When far away from the sun temperatures will be lower but an elliptic orbit means you will travel closer to the sun with the pass by so temperatures will raise, this leads to very warm and very cold conditions and not ice age conditions. Earth is currently tilled at 23.44 degrees moving towards 22 degrees. Ones again it matches up with the current heating trend, but if this theory is correct we will be at a 45degree tilt in 21 783years. That means the current warm period will last 33 783years ones again the ice core records does not have a warm period that has lasted that long. Another problem with the mechanics of the theory is that when earth is tilled at 45degree you will have very cold winters and blistering hot summers, ones again it explains extreme weather and not an ice age.
The sun is the main source of global warming as well as global cooling but the sun is not the only factor as other factors must also be considered. The sun vs. CO2 graph 1 shows that the sun drives climate when we compare to arctic air temperature and solar cycles, but as the sun vs. CO2 graph 2 shows how El Niño, la Nina, and big volcanic eruptions affect climate as well. Water vapor, CO2 and Methane also increase as warming increase, although CO2 only adds energy equal to a 2watt lamb at the moment per square meter. Other delay factors like the ocean which takes several years to heat up must also be taken in consideration as well as the earth’s albedo effect. What is the albedo effect? Snow absorbs less heat from the sun then land and the open ocean. When the amount of snow is very low, earth heats up faster when the winter snow does not melt completely during summer and is allowed to build up due to low solar activity the albedo drops allowing cooling to take over. Solar activity can trigger an ice age, referring to the sun spot graph. A mini ice age accrued between 1650 and 1700 due to low solar activity, if solar activity should remain low for a hundred years or more, earth’s albedo will drop low enough for cooling to take over and an ice age to start. If the sun is driving global warming and cooling one should also see this same effect on the other planets in the solar system, and indeed we do NASA and several universities has detected just this. Every single planet in our solar system is showing signs of global warming.
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The Hockey Stick
The Hockey stick as seen above is the crowning jewel of the CO2 climate change supporters. However many do not agree that the hockey stick is a true representation of climate change. The first problem many find with the hockey stick is the fact that it only span 1000years and that the hockey stick is mostly based on tree rings. A tree needs heat and water to grow. If it was a hot dry season the tree growth will be small and if it was a hot wet season the tree growth will be much higher so the spacing between the rings can not truly determent how hot it was that season.
After the climate gate incident where e-mails where leaked that the ipcc was hiding the fact that global temperatures where dropping. Many started to wonder, how that could be possible; the famous hockey stick clearly shows the world was heating up beyond control. The fact is if one tries to blame global warming on man, a drop in temperature and a raise in CO2 in the atmosphere would just not make sense.
The truth came out and soon all learn that the world average temperature has dropped from 0.6 at the peak of solar cycle 23 to 0.4. This drop however did not last long as solar cycle 24 has began, 2009 became the hottest year on modern climate records and 2010 had the hottest June since modern climate records began.
The hockey stick also predicted a temperature raise of 0.6 degrees in 2000 which never occurred.
Read how solar activity affect cloud formation Clouds and solar activity
Watch this video to see how climate change is effecting every planet in our solar system Climate Change
Solar storms and coronal mass ejection are deflected by earth's magnetic fields towards the poles, if one thus want to see the effects of these storms one must look at the poles where these storms has the greatest effect. As seen above arctic air temperature matches solar activity.
During 1650 till 1700 we had a mini ice age and after the 1930's we enter the period which most refer to as global warming. On this chart we can clearly see that solar activity was low during the mini ice age and high during the modern global warming period.
This chart was made by measuring C14 levels in ice cores and so on. Every single warm and cold period over the last 1000years matches up with solar activity. One can also see that solar activity is higher today then any other time in the last 1000years. We are also currently warmer then any other period with in the last 1000years.
Base Energy: The base energy is the energy required for heating on the planets surface, with out this source of energy no heating can occur. In the case of planet earth that would be the sun.
Retaining energy: This is the ability of the planet to keep the base energy in its atmosphere. In the case of planet earth energy is retained in the atmosphere by greenhouse gasses like CO2, CH4 and water vapor.
Energy absorption potential: This is the ability of a planet to absorb the energy it receives from the base energy source. In the case of planet earth it is determent by the amount of snow and ice that earth has on its surface.
Positive cycle: The movement from cold to warm.
Negative cycle: The movement from warm to cold.
In order for a positive cycle to occur the base energy has to remain high for a period which lasts long enough for the planet to retain more base energy and to absorb more base energy, in order to sustain a warming cycle on its own. This sustained cycle during average solar cycles is called run away warming. On earth we believe a high solar cycle of a hundred years and longer would be long enough to create a run away warming cycle during average solar cycles.
On planet earth CO2 CH4 and water vapor increases during times of warning and are mainly released by the oceans and ice. This increases the retain energy levels.
During warming Ice and snow which reflex’s base energy melts. This increases the energy absorption potential on earth.
After a hundred years of High solar activity the retain energy and the increase in energy absorption potential will be able to sustain the positive cycle on is own during average solar cycles.
In order for a negative cycle to occur the base energy has to remain low for a period which lasts long enough for the planet to loss the greenhouse gases though natural processes and its ability to retain base energy and to loss it ability to absorb base energy , in order to sustain a cooling cycle on its own. This sustained cycle during average solar cycles is called run away cooling. On earth we believe a low solar cycle of a hundred years and longer would be long enough to create a run away cooling cycle during average solar cycles.
On planet earth CO2 CH4 and water vapor decreases during times of cooling and are mainly absorb by the oceans and ice. This decreases the retain energy levels.
During cooling Ice and snow which reflex’s base energy builds up. This decreases the energy absorption potential on earth, because snow and ice reflex’s solar energy back into space.
After a hundred years of low solar activity the retain energy and the decrease in energy absorption potential will be able to sustain the negative cycle on is own during average solar cycles.
During 1650 and 1700 we had a solar activity minimum, which trigger a mini ice age. However it was only 50years and the negative cycle was not able to take control. Since 1930 up to 2005 we had a solar activity high. This lead to uncontrollable heating on planet earth. Although the was only 75years and not the required minimal of a 100years, sighs of a runaway warming cycle has been seen all around the world. It is of our opinion that if solar cycles remain average that warming will continue, until there is a major change in solar activity.
Cold Spells During a warming period
Cold weather normally remains trapped by the artic winds at the South Pole and North Pole. During warm periods a low pressure forms to the south of the North Pole and to the north of the South Pole. This period is now as a negative period.
It is based on a sound and well known climate fact. Cold air is heavy and creates a high pressure, while warm air raises and creates a low pressure. Cold air flows towards the warm air, because of the space left by the raising warmer air.
In warm periods, lakes, oceans, channels and so on, contains high concentrations of water vapor. Water vapor, which is one of the tree main green house gasses, is picked up and cooled down by the passing cold artic air which leads to heavy snow and rainfall.
Thus on can conclude that no warming period can occur with out cold spells, raging over parts of the far north and far south. We see this in Northern Europe, North East America and South America. Where the cold snaps will strike is normally determent by the La Nina and El Nino effected.
The second factor that contributes to this cooling effect is the ocean currents.
During warm period large amount of fresh water is released by melting snow and ice. A well know fact is that fresh water is not as dense as sea water and has a tendency to drift above the sea water. Over time the fresh water absorbs salts from the sea water and becomes denser.
The release of high amounts of fresh water during summer periods, leads to the slow down of ocean currents, which in return leads to areas which was ones cooled by the ocean to heat up and other areas which was ones warmed by warm currents to cool down.
Count down to an Ice Age
Step 1 above normal solar activity occurs for 75years or more as indicated on the image above.
Step 2 the earths ability increases to absorb solar ration by the melting of snow and ice world wide. This will increase global heating. This is called the abido effect.
Step 3 CO2, Water vapor and CH4 levels increase as the world oceans, ice and snow melts. This will increase global heating.
Step 4 the weight removed from the land masses of the world after the melting of the ice cabs will set off the slow raising of land. This is known as post glazier rebound. This process adds stress to the fault lines globally.
Step 5 the addition of fresh water to the worlds oceans will slow down the ocean current system. This will lead to extreme weather conditions world wide, as well as an indirect source of more replacement fresh water.
Step 6 more artic air will escape the north and south poles as the artic winds become too weak to keep the cool air hostage.
Step 7 the world starts to expand. This is a basic Physics principle when you heat water or rock it will expand. An expansion due to heat of only 0.01% will translate into an expansion of 510 000 square kilometer world wide. This will increase pressure on the earths fault lines and the outer mantle.
Step 8 because of the stress on the worlds fault lines added by continental drift, post glazier rebound (lifting of land and sinking of ocean floor because of the swift of weight) and the expansion of the earths crust due to heating, more earthquakes will occur. Most of these earthquakes will be below magnitude 4 because most of the earths crust is made out of weak rock which will not resist the movement of the continental plates. Big earthquakes will only occur at areas which are made out of stronger rock.
Step 9 after ever earthquake from very small to very big, which occur at seduction zones, more magma will be produced. At seduction zones the earths crust sinks into the earth melts and creates more magma, magma that will escape during volcanic eruptions.
Step 10 now the stage is set for the final attack. Cooling will now be brought by one of four or a combination of these attacks. 1) Several SO2 rich volcanoes erupts world wide. 2) One or more super volcano eruption. 3) Solar activity drops below average for a hundred years or more. 4) An asteroid of at least 1km in diameter hits the planet. The resulting shock wave will trigger volcanic flows and eruptions.
Step 1 The time period after the 75years of high solar activity has been well documented as a period of warming, Low solar activity occurred during the little ice age.
Step 2 An experiment that can be conducted to poof this statement can be done as follows, take a white tile and a brown tile and place it in the sun for two hours. The white tile represents snow; the brown tile represents the earth with out snow. After only 2hours you will notice that the brown tile is hotter then the white tile. That is what happens when snow cover is removed.
Step 3 on the ice core records we can clearly see that CO2 levels increase as the world heats up. It is also well documented that the deep ocean releases CO2 as it heats up. During an Ice age winter conditions in the artic area north and south is cold enough to freeze CO2 but during warm periods this does not happen.
Alaska is a great example of CH4 release during warm periods. The perma frost in Alaska contains CH4 as it melts it adds CH4 to the atmosphere.
To test how heat adds Water vapor to the atmosphere you can do the following: Place a bucket of water in the sun and the same type of water bucket with the same level of water in your house in a cool area. You will notice that the water level in the bucket placed in sun drops faster then the bucket in your house. This is because it is warmer in the sun then in a cool place in your house. This water vapor helps to increase heating and falls back to earth as rain or as snow, leading to heating, floods, massive snow falls and helps to slow down the ocean currents.
Step 4 to test how post glazier rebound works you can do the following: Place a glass of water on a new sponge. The new sponge acts almost like the magma the continents are drifting on. The glass of water is the earth continents covered with snow. Notice how far the glass with water sinks into the new sponge. Now empty the glass of water and place it back on to the sponge. The empty glass is the continents with out snow and ice. You will notice that the glass does not sink as far down into the sponge. That is how post glazier rebound works. This is true for the ocean bed and land masses.
Step 5 the ocean currents works as follow, warm water moves to the poles and sink as it moves back to the equator it warms and rise. Fresh water does not sink when it’s above salt water, slowing the ocean currents down. You can test this by doing the following: Take a glass with water and dissolve as much salt as you can in the glass. Add blue food coloring. Now very slowly add water with out salt to the glass. You will notice that the fresh water will remain on top.
Step 6 this is based on a very well know fact. Cold air moves towards warm air because warm air raises and creates a vacuum. You can test this with a barometer. Test the air pressure on a warm day and a cold day and compare it. You will find that on warm days the air pressure is much lower and the warmer it is the lower the pressure becomes and the stronger the force becomes pulling the cold air towards it.
Step 7 this is also based on a well know physics fact. You can test this theory with an iron ball and a bottle. The iron ball much just, just fit into the bottle opening. Now take your iron ball and keep it over a fire to heat it up and place it over the bottle opening. The ball will no longer be able to drop into the bottle because it expanded when you warmed it up. This is true for the earths crust and the oceans as it heats up it will expand.
Step 8 in step 5 and 7 we have explained expansion and post glazier rebound. Continental drift is a world wide excepted theory explaining earthquakes all around the planet. Earths crush is mostly made from silicon which is a soft material which will easily brake and crumble under stress, this will lead to only small earthquakes because not a lot of energy is required to break it and it will not resist the movement of earth’s plates. However there is also much stronger rock like granite which requires much larger amounts of energy to break, and bend these areas will experience big earthquakes, because most of earths crushed is made out of soft rock one should expect an increase in below magnitude 4 earthquakes during a period of heating.
Step 9 according to the theory of continental drift, earth has seduction zones. When plates meet one of two things will happen. 1) The lighter plate will be forced over the heavier plate. This is call seduction. 2) Both plates are equal in weight and will force each other up (This is how the Himalayas and the Alps was formed) at seduction zones the heavier plate sinks into the mantle melts and forms magma. The more seduction occurs the more of earths crust is melted and the more magma is formed.
Step 10 Geologist has already determent that volcanic activity has increased by 300% over the last 12 000years. According to the ice core records we have been in a warm period for almost 13 000years. In step 5, 7, 8 and 9 we have determined that an increase of heat will ultimately lead to more volcanic activity. SO2 rich volcanoes has lead to cooling in the past and will have the same effect today, if a large number of SO2 volcanoes erupts or large SO2 rich volcanic flows occur or if one or more super volcanoes erupts cooling will occur across the planet. If the cooling lasts for a long period of time and the earth’s abido drops low enough a new ice age will occur. Low solar activity created the little ice age not to long ago. If low solar activity occurs for an extended period of time (plus minus 100years) and earth’s abido drops low enough a new ice age will be triggered. Large meteorites and asteroids impacts can trigger large volcanic erupts or volcanic flows which will also be able to trigger a cooling cycle.
If one studies the ice core records after the Atlantic Ocean was formed, one will notice that earth never warmed up to more then 4degrees. A conclusion that can be made from this is that the pressures on earths crush reaches a boiling point at 4degrees of heating and that the heating period will end either with several SO2 rich volcanic eruptions or volcanic flows or one or more super volcanic eruptions or super volcanic flows. What is a volcanic flow? A volcanic flow happens when the earth tears open and magma starts to flow to the surface with out any eruption.
The moons effect on earth can clearly be seen on the oceans. The ocean tides are all created by the moons gravitational pull on earth. That same gravitational force also pulls on the ground and the air but it’s too weak to be noticed by the naked eye.
The tides affect the ocean currents and the ocean currents effect climate by transporting warm water to the artic and cold water from the artic to the equator. In the air the moon pulls on the trade winds, which transports water vapor around the planet.
The moon also reflexes a small amount of sun light. This is a very small heating source but does add a very tiny amount of energy to the energy system. This very tiny source of energy increases when a solar cycle moves from min to max and decreases when the solar cycle moves from a max to a min.
Galactic dust can be sucked into the earth’s atmosphere and burn out, adding energy to the top layer of our atmosphere. Galactic dust also conducts energy coming from the sun faster then the vacuum of space, leading to solar flares reaching earth in a much shorter period of time; in high amounts it can even dim the short wave length light we receive from the sun. In a nut shell small amounts of galactic dust can heat earth up but large amounts can cool the planet down.
In the center of our galaxy is a super massive black hole probably orbited by smaller back holes which create the bar one sees in the center of the Milky Way.
The center of the Milky Way can have similar gravitational effects on earths climate (but much smaller) as the moon. The center of the Milky Way can do this in two ways. The first possibility is that the earth lines up with the central bar. This bar is possibly formed by a line up of black holes increasing the gravity experienced when lined up with this bar. The second way is earth when earth move pass the galactic equator, where the super massive black hole has its strongest gravitational pull. Because of the size of the Milky Way it takes between 25 000 to 27 000years for any kind of energy released from the center of the Milky Way to reach us, How ever we can see the location of this energy just before it hits earth because our eyes and interments can only detect the energy it receives.
The center of the Milky Way can also add energy to earth’s climate system in one of three ways. According to the Theart Black Hole theory and other black hole theories, black holes emit radiation. One way how this radiation can add energy to the earth’s climate system is when earth lines up with the Milky Way central bar. A second way is when earth cross the galactic center. Because of the distance this energy has to travel most believe that the amount of energy added to earths climate system will be very low.
The third way how energy can be added to earth’s climate system by the center of the Milky Way is when the super massive black hole over eats. According to the Theart Black Hole Theory when a large amount of matter or energy enters a black hole some of the energy and matter will escape the black hole at its polls. According to the Theart Black Hole Theory, black holes has a magnetic felt that exit the black hole at the one poll and enters at the other poll. When too much matter or energy enters the black hole it escapes the black hole at its polls spraying matter and energy across the entire galaxy. Scientist has seen this happen in other galaxies many times, but so far we have been lucky and have never witnessed it in the Milky Way, but all agree, some point in time this will happen in our Galaxy as well. When this happen it will spray earth with galactic dust and large amounts of energy. We will only know that it is coming when it hits us because, we have no instrumentation that moves faster then the speed of light. The only thing we will be able to detect will be the dust, but by then the energy wave would have already reached us.
There is 2 known cycles. A 100 000years cycle where earth moves from an elliptical orbit to a round orbit and one where earths tilled towards the sun moves from 22degrees to 40degrees. Both lead to a change in climate but, ones compared to the ice care records no evidence was found that it lead or trigger Ice ages.
During a round orbit earth, remains the same distance from the sun all year round. During an elliptical orbit the earth are two times of the year further away from the sun and receive thus less solar energy. The earths orbit always covers the same distance, which implies that when the orbit is elliptical 2 times a year the earth will be closer to the sun then during a round orbit. That means that 2 times every year earths climate will be colder then during a round orbit and 2 times a year earth will be hotter then during a round orbit. This will lead to more extreme climate, in other words very hot periods and very cold periods with in the same year.
When it came to earths tilled one basically discovers the same pattern. When earth is at a tilled of 22degrees the artic circle will move down by plus/minus 2 Degrees. The weather will still be very similar then it is now because we are on 23.25degrees tilled now, the only different will be that the artic circle will grow with plus/minus 2 degrees.
Ones we move up to a tilled of 40degrees, more extreme climate will take hold. Summers will be much warmer then now because the direct energy from the sun will be much closer to the artic during summer. The climate will be much colder during winter because the suns direct raise will move further away from the artic during winter. This will result in the same climate extremes one will expect from an elliptical orbit.
We have now looked at Man made climate change, Natural climate change and it will only be fare to look at the newest new climate change theory. There is not really much on this theory and it is of all the climate change theories, the one that enjoys the smallest amount of support, mostly because the solar expansion theory lacks concrete evidence.
It has been know for years that a star starts off small and is normally colored blue, as the star grows older it expand and change color as it expand. The star will turn white, the yellow, then orange, and then red, expanding as it changes colors. It is commonly believed that this process takes billions of years and that each color change happens slowly over millions of years.
The solar expansion theory however says that each change happens over a very short period, and that our sun is now in a change over moving towards an orange star and is expanding and heating up. The expansion theory supporters believe that the current heating that has taking place on every single planet in our solar system, is the result of the sun preparing to move over to its next stage of life.
It will take years before we will know whether this is true or not, by then if this theory is correct climate on earth would have changed for ever. It is also possible that all the data and information they have collected only points to a little hick up which may occur between 80 000 and 100 000 years, and it only an induction that the helium in the sun is increasing and falling to the center of the sun and not a complete change over.
The solar expansion theory is not the only one trying to explain the climate change which many believe is occurring all across the solar system. Just as sun spot activity effects earth it affects the entire solar system. Many also believe that we are crossing a galactic energy field and that this extra energy is creating climate change all across the solar system.
The cooling theory is based on the on a well know and accepted Physics law. The more mass an object have the greater the gravity. The cooling theory states that over millions of years the earth is slowly cooling. A fact which carbon climate change supporters has exploited in their attempt to proof that man and only man is responsible for global warming or as it is known now Climate Change.
This is way this earth is cooling very slowly. The solar wind contains tons of matter which leaves the suns surface and travels away into space, millions of tons are also ejected by solar storms, solar flares and solar mass ejections. Common sense says that if millions of tons of matter is lost by the sun on a daily basses that the sun it self is losing mass, if the sun loss mass, it also losses gratify, if the sun losses gravity, it means that planet earth is slowly drifting away from the sun over a period of millions of years. This in turn means that the earth has indeed been warming 65million years ago and that the high CO2 presence was indeed not the only reason.
By J.H Theart
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